Thursday, March 19, 2015

Currency's Todays Highlights-



The EURUSD broke higher during the course of the day on yesterday, testing the 1.10 level after the Federal Reserve suggested that perhaps the interest rates in the United States will remain low for a longer amount of time than anticipated. Because of this, we believe that the market will test the 1.10 level again, but we can not forget this fact that there are major issues in the European Union right now. With that, we are a bit hesitant to get involved until we get a clearer signal one way or the other. As of now,it’s better to stay on the sidelines.



GBP/USD


The GBPUSD broke higher during the course of the session after initially falling on yesterday, as we sliced through the 1.50 level. In fact, the surge was massive and as a result we anticipate quite a bit of volatility in this market. However, as the US closes, we are dropping back below the 1.50 level, so right now it looks like the market is still trying to figure out what the US dollar is getting ready to do. With that, we recommend staying out of this market at the moment, as the volatility is too much.



The AUDUSD broke higher during the course of the session on yesterday, testing the 0.79 level. However, we found enough resistance in that general vicinity to withstand the bullish pressure. Alternately, if we get some type of resistive candle in this general vicinity that we are willing to sell. However, we do not have that as of now and we do recognize that the 0.80 level above is a bit of a ceiling, so we are waiting to see whether or not we get a sell signal again, and as a result will remain patient.

USD/JPY

The USDJPY fell hard during the course of the day on yesterday as the Federal Reserve announced its monetary policy, suggesting that perhaps they will have to be patient for longer than anticipated about rate increases. With that, we think that there is still probably an uptrend in a fact, but we may have to be patient and wait for a supportive candle in order to start buying.

NZD/USD

The NZDUSD broke higher during the course of the day on yesterday, breaking above the 0.75 level at one point. Because of this, we need to wait to see whether or not this area holds as resistance, and gives us a nice selling opportunity. As of now, we do not have the right resistive candle, so at this point of time we believe that this market will continue to be very choppy and volatile. We have no interest in buying, but certainly can’t sell. We will let the market come down for a couple of days before placing trades.




Forex Report for Thrusday


Date
Time
Currency
Impact
Particular
Forecast
Previous









ThuMar 19
12:00am
USD
High
FOMC Press Conference



3:15am
NZD
High
GDP q/q
0.80%
0.90%

6:00am
AUD

RBA Bulletin



10:00am
JPY

All Industries Activity m/m
1.90%
-0.10%

12:15pm
CHF

SECO Economic Forecasts



12:30pm
CHF

Trade Balance
2.87B
3.41B

2:00pm
CHF
High
Libor Rate
-0.75%
-0.75%


CHF
High
SNB Monetary Policy Assessment




CHF
High
SNB Press Conference



2:30pm
EUR

ECB Economic Bulletin



Tentative
GBP

10-y Bond Auction

1.62|1.6

Day 1
EUR
High
EU Economic Summit



3:45pm
EUR
High
Targeted LTRO
40.0B
129.8B

6:00pm
USD
High
Unemployment Claims
295K
289K


USD

Current Account
-103B
-100B

7:30pm
USD
High
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
7.2
5.2

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

NZD/USD Chart wednesday

NZD/USD

The NZD/USD fell during the course of the session on yesterday, as we continued to see bearish pressure. We believe that the 0.73 level is somewhat supportive, but this market should continue to go much lower. We will more than likely try to reach the 0.7150 level, which offered support the last time, but we believe it will break down eventually and let the market head down to the 0.70 level. We believe that rallies will offer selling opportunities, as the 0.75 level above is resistive.

USD/JPY Chart wednesday


USD/JPY

The USDJPY went back and forth during the day on yesterday forming a hammer again. Because of this, the market looks as if it is completely supported below, probably finding a bit of a floor at the 120 level. With that, we believe that we can find buying opportunities every time it dips. We recognize that eventually we will break out to the upside, and once we do so,

AUD/USD Chart Wednesday


The AUDUSD tried to break higher during the course of the session on yesterday, but turned back around to form a shooting star. With that, the market looks as if it’s ready to go much lower, and as a result we believe that this market should then go to the 0.75 level given enough time. We believe that rallies will offer selling opportunities, and that the “ceiling” is somewhere near the 0.80 level, which is a major level on longer-term charts. With this, we continue to sell every opportunity we get.

GBP/USD Chart wednesday


GBP/USD

The GBPUSD broke down during the session on yesterday, slicing back below the 1.48 level. With that, the market looks as if it’s ready to continue going lower, possibly down to the 1.45 level and as a result the market will more than likely be targeting it. Any rally at this point of time will more than
likely find a significant amount of resistance all the way to the 1.50 level, so we are willing to sell resistive looking candles.

EURUSD chart wednesday


EURUSD-
The EURUSD tried to break out to the upside during the session on yesterday but ran into a significant amount of resistance above the 1.06 level. Because of this, the market ended up falling and forming a shooting star, which is a negative sign. We believe that the market will then head down to the 1.05 level, which has been supportive in past. We believe that a break down below there will send the Euro down to the parity level, which is our longer-term target.

Tuesday Forex Technical Report


Forex Report








TueMar 17
12:15am
EUR
High
ECB President Draghi Speaks



1:30am
USD

TIC Long-Term Purchases
27.2B
39.2B

6:00am
AUD
High
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes



8:34am
JPY
High
Monetary Policy Statement



Tentative
JPY
High
BOJ Press Conference



3:30pm
EUR
High
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
58.9
53


EUR

Final CPI y/y
-0.30%
-0.30%


EUR

ZEW Economic Sentiment
58.2
52.7


EUR

Employment Change q/q
0.10%
0.20%


EUR

Final Core CPI y/y
0.60%
0.60%

6:00pm
CAD
High
Manufacturing Sales m/m
-1.10%
1.70%


USD
High
Building Permits
1.07M
1.06M


USD

Housing Starts
1.05M
1.07M

7:30pm
USD

Treasury Sec Lew Speaks



Tentative
NZD
High
GDT Price Index

1.10%

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS

TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS


Date

Tue Mar 17h
2015
Time (GMT)
Currency
Economic Data
Forecast
Previous
12:30am
AUD
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes


3:04am
JPY
Monetary Policy Statement



 Tentative
JPY
BOJ Press Conference



10:00am
EUR
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
58.9
53.0


EUR
Final CPI y/y
-0.3%
-0.3%


EUR
ZEW Economic Sentiment
58.2
52.7

12:30pm
CAD
Manufacturing Sales m/m
-1.1%
1.7%


USD
Building Permits
1.07M
1.06M


USD
Housing Starts
1.05M
1.07M

2:00pm
USD
Treasury Sec Lew Speaks



Tentative
NZD
GDT Price Index

1.1%

9:45pm
NZD
Current Account
-3.12B
-5.01B

11:50pm
JPY
Trade Balance
-1.21T
-0.41T

Today's Chart: NZD/CHF


Today's Chart: NZD/CHF ( Hourly )


SUMMARY:

 
SUMMARY:
The major trend of NZD/CHF is bullish. Prices are successfully sustaining on higher levels & consolidating near the important level of 0.7445. The pair is consolidating with strong positive bias and expected to give breakout at upside & can continue its ongoing trend. If NZD/CHF crosses the psychological level of 0.7450 at upside then we can expect it to test the level of 0.7510/0.7550. 

INDICATORS:-
RSI is sustaining in buying territory supporting the upcoming bullish trend in the pair.
Prices are also taking support of 30 DMA & 200 DMA, can show positive side movement for the day.
MACD line is also sustaining in buying territory, indicating the up trend in the market.

STRATEGY:- NZD/CHF is sustaining on higher levels & looking bullish on charts. One can go for buy on dips strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.
 

Tuesday Forex Technical Report


Daily Technical Report
Pivot Points


S3
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
R3
EUR/USD
1.0312
1.0384
1.0477
1.0549
1.0642
1.0714
1.0807
GBP/USD
1.4628
1.4678
1.4754
1.4804
1.4880
1.4930
1.5006
USD/JPY
120.67
120.87
121.10
121.30
121.53
121.73
121.96
USD/CHF
0.9973
0.9996
1.0037
1.0060
1.0101
1.0124
1.0165
AUD/USD
0.7530
0.7568
0.7605
0.7643
0.7680
0.7718
0.7755
EUR/GBP
0.7010
0.7050
0.7088
0.7128
0.7166
0.7206
0.7244
USD/CAD
1.2644
1.2688
1.2730
1.2774
1.2816
1.2860
1.2902
NZD/USD
0.7213
0.7262
0.7316
0.7365
0.7419
0.7468
0.7522

USD/JPY: Yen hits fresh highs below 121.30 on BOJ Kuroda’s comments

[USD/JPY] Forex Investor Tips-

USD/JPY falls from below 121.37 levels

Currently, the USD/JPY traded unchanged at 121.34, quickly recovering from session lows posted at 121.29 post Kuroda’s comments. The yen strengthened to fresh session highs against the greenback post BOJ Kuroda’s speech which seems to be pro-yen as Kuroda seems optimistic on the overall Japanese economic recovery with wages expected to increase, price trend increasing steadily and indicators of consumer sentiment turning more positive.

Earlier in the session, USD/JPY remained unperturbed by BOJ’s policy decision as markets had widely anticipated that BOJ would keep its monetary policy unchanged. Meanwhile, traders now await US macro data later in the day for further momentum on the pair.

USD/JPY Technical Levels

To the upside, the next resistance is located at 121.67 (March 12 High)) levels and above which it could extend gains 122.03 (March 10 High) levels. To the downside immediate support might be located at 121 levels, below that at 120.24 (20-DMA) levels.

EUR/USD eyeing 1.0600


[EUR/USD] Forex Investor Tips-
 
“The EUR/USD pair witnessed the strongest rise in more than two weeks on Monday as it clocked a high of 1.0618 levels. The technical driven strength in the shared currency was further supported by the disappointing US data, upbeat comments from the ECB President Draghi and disappointing weekly QE purchases number announced by the ECB.”

“The central bank purchased bonds worth EUR 9.751 billion, which is considerably lower than the average EUR 15 billion per week required to achieve its EUR 60 billion per month target. Slow pace of purchases is Euro positive since it means liquidity is being injected at a slow speed.”

“Meanwhile, Draghi, in his speech, noted a sustained recovery in the Eurozone economy. However, caution ahead of the FOMC meeting made sure the pair gave up its gains to trade at 1.0560 levels at the time of writing.”

“A fresh demand for Euros can be anticipated in the range of 1.0530-1.0550, especially if the German Zew survey index prints an optimistic picture about the German economy. Moreover, a strong Zew number, coupled with a stability in the EU CPI in February would support upbeat comments made by Draghi yesterday. In such a case, we could see the pair make another attempt at 1.06 levels.”

“A break above 1.06 could see the pair rise to 1.0650, where a fresh selling pressure could emerge ahead of the FOMC meeting.”

Monday, March 16, 2015

GBP/USD further weakness ahead

“The anticipated GBP weakness exceeded our expectation as it plunged to a low of 1.4699. Strong impulsive downward momentum suggests further weakness for today.”

“A move below 1.4699 could lead to a quick drop to 1.4650.”

“Strong resistance is at 1.4810.”

EUR/USD inching higher, near 1.0530


EUR/USD bounced off 1.0460

The pair has managed to revert a negative start after opening around the 1.0460 region in Asia, recovering some ground along with the offered tone surrounding the USD.

Empty docket in the euro area today will leave the attention to the US releases, with Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production and the Housing Market index gauged by NAHB as the main highlights.

Despite no major announcements are expected, market participants would pay attention to Draghi’s speech tonight in Frankfurt about “The Future of the Finance Industry – Between Growth and Regulation”; followed by a speech by ECB’s Exec Board Member S.Lautenschlager on “Reality Check – How to Foster Growth in the New Regulatory Landscape”, also in Frankfurt.

EUR/USD levels to consider

The pair is advancing 0.19% at 1.0516 and a breakdown of 1.0457 (12-year low Mar.16) would expose 1.0335 (2003 low Jan.2) and then 1.0300 (psychological level). On the flip side, the initial up-barrier lines up at 1.0635 (high Mar.13) ahead of 1.0683 (high Mar.12) followed by 1.0718 (high Mar.11).